Take a chance
The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes.
- By 2060 the total population of humans on earth will be less than it is today.
- By 2020, bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event.
- Music CDs compatible with current (2002) CD players will still be sold regularly in 2015.
- By the year 2020 solar electricity will be as cheap or cheaper than that produced by fossil fuels.